Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 11.967215 13.731583 15.615910 17.772457 20.166427 22.736615 25.698687
2025-11-16 9.236271 11.558966 14.211800 17.444393 21.254269 25.578451 30.832938
2025-11-23 7.438153 9.971177 13.019822 16.916344 21.717551 27.391443 34.550748
2025-11-30 6.414337 9.112121 12.503915 17.011364 22.766891 29.788463 38.911164
2025-12-07 5.608578 8.399169 12.048206 17.067708 23.679190 31.968441 43.008626
2025-12-14 5.002377 7.863432 11.740685 17.241485 24.688384 34.250350 47.261283
2025-12-21 4.449834 7.329182 11.366518 17.263372 25.452432 36.200219 51.112495
2025-12-28 4.111549 7.060849 11.323168 17.709071 26.774987 38.899082 56.001878
2026-01-04 3.777709 6.758443 11.194523 18.005091 27.878547 41.318046 60.572149
2026-01-11 3.425735 6.387166 10.925974 18.064742 28.628571 43.256819 64.529231
2026-01-18 2.992361 5.835808 10.334257 17.594337 28.572967 44.051298 66.911883
2026-01-25 2.644422 5.387305 9.861071 17.260351 28.679754 45.051552 69.581606
2026-02-01 2.325639 4.957448 9.386864 16.897463 28.728720 45.977007 72.190964
2026-02-08 2.053532 4.579565 8.964701 16.583008 28.823914 46.957618 74.893338
2026-02-15 1.782051 4.169020 8.449739 16.076426 28.582608 47.414270 76.826148
2026-02-22 1.635238 3.981752 8.304822 16.167576 29.275459 49.274502 80.854893
2026-03-01 1.497806 3.796602 8.146858 16.221626 29.901929 51.042683 84.782421
2026-03-08 1.388885 3.657353 8.059959 16.388339 30.710533 53.104756 89.194057
2026-03-15 1.271731 3.485950 7.897961 16.409336 31.272094 54.791597 93.070118
2026-03-22 1.212796 3.436318 7.963457 16.836978 32.524575 57.588890 98.704170
2026-03-29 1.142045 3.351210 7.952153 17.121050 33.539316 60.031842 103.842628
2026-04-05 1.053393 3.212930 7.823459 17.178298 34.161989 61.859343 108.059913
2026-04-12 0.924368 2.958766 7.437361 16.726885 33.876691 62.205732 109.953155